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Probabilities of movement

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Hi all,

I estimated stopover locations by using 0.1, 0.2, and 0.3 cutt-off prob. Results are quite consistent specially during the first part of migration.

Can the 0.1, 0.2, and 0.3 values be translated into something more "meaningful"? Like km? I'm not quite sure how to explain these three values.

Many thanks,



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  • 2 weeks later...

  Hi Ana,

these cut-off probs just measure how many particles movet between time t and t+1. 0.1 will say that there was movement between two periods if at least 10% of particles moved >25 km. 0.5 would mean 50% chance. Generally you better make it higher than lower.

There is so far no established approach on how to select a proper value here.

  Hope this helps,


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